Annual average official track errors for Atlantic basin tropical storms and hurricanes for the period of 1970-2021, ... You don’t know it but your speedometer is off by just 2% from a perfect ...

There were 347 tropical cyclone forecasts made by the NHC in 2024 and the mean track errors at every forecast interval (hours 12, 24, 36, 48, 60, 72, 96 and 120) broke records for accuracy.

An early track forecast ignited fears that densely populated Tampa and St. Petersburg could be directly hit. Ultimately, Ian made landfall 100 miles to the south. So were the weekend forecasts ...

Track errors in some cases were more than double the five-year mean and increased seasonal track errors up to 25%. “There is room to run, we just need more technology,” Cangialosi said.

Track errors in some cases were more than double the five-year mean and increased seasonal track errors up to 25%. “There is room to run, we just need more technology,” Cangialosi said.

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